Summary:
This draft paper sets out the authors’ views of what good practice for the actuarial aspects of internal models will look like in 2012, the year Solvency II is expected to be implemented. These practices are focused on the technical matters rather than professional ones. Actuaries working on internal models are likely to need to consider and follow such practices if their internal models are to be approved for use in calculating regulatory capital.
The risk quantification techniques discussed in the paper can also be used in the Own Risk Solvency Assessment (ORSA) process, also required by Solvency II. The paper is therefore relevant to actuaries working in companies that are not planning to apply to use an internal model.
The paper covers both life and non-life insurance and reinsurance, with a focus on the UK market, and reviews current practice as well as setting out possible future practice. This leads to identification of the areas that should be researched by the profession in order to prepare for 2012:
- Diversification and co-dependency of risks;
- Time horizon over which to measure risks;
- Extreme events;
- Group risk; and
- Data quality.
The discussion gives an indication of the directions each of these elements might take.
The paper is effectively a work in progress, and readers should ask themselves what they should do in response to the ideas discussed.
A reasonable amount of knowledge of Solvency II is assumed, as well as familiarity with the concept of Internal Capital Models.
http://www.actuaries.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/146664/sm20090223.pdf